Mark, or anyone - have you any comments on horses going down in distance? Looking at today's races there were four horses that were $3.50 or under pre-post that were reducing in race distance by at least 150 metres. They were:
Geelong R6 no.2 - Highly Elated.
Echuca R6 no.2 - Prince Of Scribes
Warren R4 no.3 - Moville Eddie
Kalgoorlie R3 no.1 - Christobal.

None of them won, nor were they placed which I suppose is encouraging.

Out of interest I also looked at $3.50 pre-post that were increasing in distance by more than 200 metres. There were 5 selections for three unplaced and a second - the fifth is still to run (Kalgoorlie R6 no.2). There were three such selections yesterday including Perlin, none won.

i use a simple rule when deciding wether to back a horse down in distance - unless they have been placed at their last start & that start was within the last couple of weeks they dont get my money. i improved my strike rate considerably once i started aplying this test.

Hi, Davez.

Your posting supports not backing/laying horses going down in distance. I'll look at those that are now dropping in distance by at least 150 metres without any other rules, and will list them in two categories. The first category is placed at last start, and the second will be those unplaced. We'll see how they go...

Unplaced.
Flemington R5 no.1 - Our Smoking Joe.

Yesterday's selection won, paying $2.70 - not a good start.

No selections today.

Two selections today:

Placed last start.
Ipswich R8 no.2 - Finder Page

Unplaced
Ipswich R6 no.2 - Miss Ab Fab

There is a third selection today which I mistakenly omitted. It is:

Unplaced last start.
Sandown R8 no.9 - Mahr.