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  #11  
Old 19th April 2006, 09:23 PM
duxgutz duxgutz is offline
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Darky,

I'm just curious.

Is the nswtab's dfs form the same as the wizard?

Its all set out pretty much the same, or, is it just similar?

------------------------------------------------------
"Anybody is capable of anything"
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  #12  
Old 19th April 2006, 09:31 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile DUXGUTZ

I believe it is. ( from the Warren Block organization- everyrace).

Cheers.
darky.
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  #13  
Old 20th April 2006, 08:57 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile ANOTHER OLDIE

FAV

BOTTOM WEIGHT OR WITHIN 1 KG OF BOTTOM WEIGHT.

I,d assume you wouldn,t get many bets though with this one.

Cheers.
darky.
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  #14  
Old 1st May 2006, 07:15 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Default A WIZARD SYSTEM

WT RATING 100

TIME RATING 100

15 - 18 POINTS

FS ( FIELD STRENGTH) - 5 to +1.5

Cheers.

darky.
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  #15  
Old 1st May 2006, 07:36 AM
crash crash is offline
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The Wizard top pick as long as it doesn't start at more than $5.50 [good POT]
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  #16  
Old 1st May 2006, 07:47 AM
Mr. Logic Mr. Logic is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
The Wizard top pick as long as it doesn't start at more than $5.50 [good POT]


I am sorry, but something like this does not make logical sense to me. The aim in betting is to get the best possible odds about a horse.

1. Firstly what price are you using to determine the starting price? UniTab? NSW tote? SuperTab? Official bookmaker starting price? You see there are all different starting prices.

2. Now I can just imagine myself watching a horse on top firm from $9.00 to $8.00. NO, I won't back it. It firms from $8.00 to $7.00. NO, I won't back it. It firms from $7.00 to $6.00. NO, I won't back it. Why? Because it hasn't reached $5.50. Personally I would feel rather stupid waiting for a horse to firm from $9.00 all the way to $5.50 before I back it. Personally I would feel rather stupid taking $5.50 about a horse when I could have got $9.00.
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  #17  
Old 1st May 2006, 07:56 AM
crash crash is offline
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You might start with a 'please explain' before going off with your 'logic' mr. logic [the system has the figures to back it up].

'Horse on top at $8' ?? Which races do you follow, 18+ horse fields [only]?
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  #18  
Old 1st May 2006, 08:49 AM
Mr. Logic Mr. Logic is offline
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Thumbs down

Crash,

1. You haven't explained how YOU decide what starting price is.

2. You only know the starting price AFTER the race. Now that's not much good to me if I want to place a bet BEFORE the race. But it's fine for systems that retrofit results!
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  #19  
Old 1st May 2006, 11:12 AM
crash crash is offline
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Logic,

1. You never asked
2. Your being silly
-------------------------------------------------

The next wizard system.

1.Back any Chris Scholtz tips that do not exceed $5 SP or close to it [1 or 2 min. before the jump obviously]. Monitored 106 selections [so far] return 126.85. Over $5.50 for the same period 93 selections for a return of $46.

You can do the same for Tony Brassel for [remarkably] very similar results.

For the first wizard system in my previous post for 369 races the wizards top selection not over $5.50 SP were 230 that returned 233.50. Over $5.50 there were 139 selections for a return of 106.50.

Moral of the story? It's a hard yard to make a profit consistently punting on tips at over $5.50. I'm sure the loss results would apply to any good tipster or even punter doing their own tipping on a full card.
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  #20  
Old 1st May 2006, 11:31 AM
La Mer La Mer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Logic,

1. You never asked
2. Your being silly
-------------------------------------------------

The next wizard system.

1.Back any Chris Scholtz tips that do not exceed $5 SP or close to it [1 or 2 min. before the jump obviously]. Monitored 106 selections [so far] return 126.85. Over $5.50 for the same period 93 selections for a return of $46.


But it's a legit question to ask, SP is only a given after the race, what source do you use before the race - one of the totes, IAS, Sportingbet?

They can and all do differ quite regularly on prices even up to the start of a race.
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