Thanks Chrome Prince, re: DW, point taken, I was talking here ONLY in the context of attempting to "delete" false favs, (must have) raced within 100m of todays distance last start OR be a distance winner.

Radar,

Spell count represents the number of runs from a spell. A spell count of 1 means the horse has already had one run from a spell i.e. it's 2nd up today.

Thanks osulldj,

Not really to do with favourites but on the spell count issue I've noticed (without any real research) that horses 3rd up over the 1500m at Rosehill often fare well. Guess it makes sense for a trainer to set a horse for such a race if it has had the benefit of a couple of shorter fitness runs. Might be worth a consideration for multiples (or if there is a "false favourite" in such a race.

radar

somebody in the forum posted figures that suggested that odds on favs win about 60% of their races.. is there a point or are there figures that suggest a weakness at a certain price.....and id rather be taking 2/1 in an eight horse field than a fifteen horse field(but i imagine barriers play a part in big fields )...just an aside ..... although sound action is argueably the best filly going round at this point in time i think 1.80 is well short for such a race ...many may disagree but thats what were here for ... cheers

Dan, I know you consider this a pointless exercise but I was wondering if you could post the stats for favourites over different distances and on different surfaces ie. slow, heavy etc? Also, what was the the SR% and POT% of the entire sample? Thanks!