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  #11  
Old 4th August 2007, 03:48 PM
feather feather is offline
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Michaelg, You did not see the two Darwin ones. R1-1, R5-2,
While you are at it, take a note of the horses that have won their last start - ignore the Metro tracks - all of the horses not just the "duel" ones that you are looking at.
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  #12  
Old 4th August 2007, 04:07 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Hi, Feather.

I omitted Darwin only because NSW TAB is not betting at that venue.

I also did look at last-start winners, not only for the dual top selections but also the individual top selections but was unable to come up with anything conclusive. Admittedly the sample was not sufficient, and it was simply the raw results.

If the current method fails I will have a better look at last-start winners and apply any appropriate filters.

Today's last selection ran fourth - it finished fast. Pity, because it was showing $13.50 and $2.60 on NSW TAB.
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  #13  
Old 5th August 2007, 10:41 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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There was one scratching yesterday. From the remaining 4 selection there were 3 winners paying a total of $5.60, and all 4 selections placed paying $5.80.

There have now been 4 winners from 6 selections for a profit of $3.80, and 5 placegetters for a profit of $2.20.

No selections today.


Wesmip1.

From yesterday's 5 selections there were 3 winners paying a total of $8.50 (NSW TAB), and 4 placegetters paying $7.80.

There have now been 4 winners from 6 selections for a profit of $7.30, and 5 placegetters for a profit of $4.10.

No selections today.
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  #14  
Old 6th August 2007, 10:28 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's selections:

Murwillumbah R8 no.1 - Lost Weekend
Darwin R 6 No.1 - Catwalk Minnie
Darwin R9 no.1 - Nozi
Sale R7 no.1 - Perfect Rule.


Wesmip1's ratings.

With Wesmip1's ratings I have been looking at all races regardless of field size which differs with the above method in which is limited to fields of 9 to 12 runners. From the six races listed here so far there have been four with 9 to 12 runners for three winners and one second. From today I will identify the selections that are outside this range of starters.

Today's selections:
Sale R6 no.3 - Phantom Run (7 starters)
Darwin R4 no.2 - Little Uma (8 starters)
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  #15  
Old 7th August 2007, 09:53 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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From yesterday's 4 selections there were no winners, 3 placegetters for a profit of $1.80.

There have now been 4 winners from 10 selections for a loss of $0.20, and 8 placegetters for a profit of $4.10.

No selections today:


Wesmip1 ratings.

Yesterday's two selections did not win, but one placed paying $2.20.

9-12 runners. There have now been 4 selections for 3 winners for a profit of $9.30, and all 4 placed for a profit of $4.60.

Non 9-12 runners. There have now been 4 selections for 1 winner of $1.80 for a loss of $2.20, and 2 placegetters for a loss of $0.30.

Today's selections - all are in the 9-12 runners category. Hopefully they will do well:

Rocky R4 no.2 - Doog Trois
Rocky R7 no.1 - Go The Red
Taree R7 no.1 - Space Academy.
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  #16  
Old 7th August 2007, 05:23 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Not a bad result michael,

2 seconds and a first.
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  #17  
Old 8th August 2007, 07:27 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wesmip1, there have now been 7 selections in the 9-12 range, and the worst any one of them has run is second. Not bad!!!

Having said that, the kiss of death will most likely now raise its ugly head, or should that be "its ugly lips"?

Yesterday I had my doubts about Space Academy but it ran second paying $1.80.

Last edited by michaelg : 8th August 2007 at 07:42 AM.
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  #18  
Old 8th August 2007, 10:18 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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My System.

One selection today:
Belmont R6 no.1 - Moss Street.


Wesmip1's System - 9 to 12 starters.

From yesterday's 3 selections there was one winner of $3.00 and all three placed for a profit of $1.44.

There have now been 4 winners from 7 selections for a POT of 133%, and 7 placegetters for a POT of 86%. It's early days, but it is encouraging.

No selections today.
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  #19  
Old 9th August 2007, 10:32 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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My System.

Yesterday's only selection was unplaced.

There have now been 4 winners from 7 selections for a loss of $1.20 but with Place betting a profit of $3.10. This is not surprising because the method is based on the neurals which seems to favour Place betting.

One selection today:
Townsville R3 no.3 - Splendorous.

Wesmip1

No selections today.
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  #20  
Old 10th August 2007, 10:52 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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My Tips.

Yesterday's only selection won paying $1.90 and $1.20.

There have now been 5 winners from 12 selections for a loss of $0.30, and 9 placegetters for a profit of $3.30.

No selections today


Wesmip1.

One selection today:
Ipswich R2 no.10 - Onyourmarque ($51 in the pre-post market)
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