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Old 6th December 2007, 11:23 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
Default New Ratings

Just going over the Ballarat Fields with SHAUN's NEW RATINGS Program with simplicity thrown in.
I only went over the races with the more data available.
The odds below are based solely on win strike rates,place strike rates,Total Prizemoney and Average Prizemoney won.
No allowances have been made for Current Form or any other of Todays variables.

Ballarat Race 5
1 Politburo $3.3
2 Phaze Action $3.3
12 Vesper Lynd $9.9

Ballarat Race 6
13 Oak Heart $4
1 Schwarzer $6.6
2 Majestic Arch $9.6

Ballarat Race 7
1 Grand Expectations $3.4
5 Kinka Rhode $4.9
9 Lickety Quick $9.2

Ballarat Race 8
9 Breech $4.3
7 Sniploch $5.1
10 Buzz Kerang $8.5
5 Landsdown Road $9.1

There is still a problem with how the data is interpreted by the program.
I notice that the order can sometimes change when the scratchings are put in.
For example if the 5th rated horse is scratched, it is possible that rated horses in positions 3 and 4 can be reversed.
This is illogical and it is caused by no weighting within individual tables.
Perhaps the actual strike rates need to be inputted rather than the ranking order.Or a combination of the two.

If these predictions fail badly, I Absolve Shaun of any responsibility and apologise sincerely for mentioning his Good Name.
If they do well, then all Credit is due to this man.
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