I don't know Stix, Crash. in my opinion the "difference" in weights in the race between horses is far more important than the actual individual weights carried.

did a quick run on the fav, carrying the same weight, down in weight or up by more than 2k

Same S/R 31.58% LOT 10.8
Less w S/R 32.57% LOT 10.94
Up by more than 2k S/R 33.30% LOT 11.94

I try not to back fav's. The average div last year for me was $5.77, this year it's $6.00, but havimg said that I don't take notice of pre-post odds and I don't bet at the jump. I hope for a reasonable strike rate and a healthy av divy.

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Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!

neither do I , but I had this query set up before for someone else, so I ran it.
Will run it for all winners, although I'm not inclined to follow mechanical "systems" or any system for that matter.

here it is

weight same winners S/R 10.37% LOT 32.62%
weight less winners S/R 9.49% LOT 32.07%
weight up +2Kg winners S/R 13.31% LOT 29.19%

Should make you think!

Good luck

Thanks Lomaca

I've over thought it already....... Have spend days on weights analysis with my systems.

Another one for me is that I also don't give a toss about the jockey either....

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Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!

Yeah, well you have to remember that the "Bookie" basically bets (gambles) on every horse in the race 24x7 but in reverse, i.e 80% or so.

Just like most of us having a punt of about $500 per year that our house wont be wiped off the face of the earth, or that it won't be burgled (for another $500)

Truth is that EVEN if it was burgled the chances are that the claim would be less than $1000, (i.e.) carry off TV and Video etc) but we still go on having that bet............ just in case, so we are taking 2-1, for a 5 or 6-1 chance??? yes?

That's why there are Bookies and insurance companies, (basically ,the same thing)

And also that's why my username is "Partypooper" hahhaahah!

Good luck guys!

Crash, I've never come up with a place system that makes a decent long term profit. I think back in the days when systems were based on tipsters polls etc I came up with one that made about 5% profit, maybe 10. It had all sorts of restrictions like fields of 10 and less and was astonishinly boring as well as of questionable merit (I think I did a workout for 2 years). Maybe something like this might work now with the possibility of getting best tote. I just found place betting tedious. Anyway, good luck.
Xanadu, at least your phone friend at Betezy didn't say ''cool''.