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  #1  
Old 20th April 2010, 03:46 PM
thorns thorns is offline
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Default Favourite system test

Have dug this one up from years ago, can't remember who gave it to me but will run a test for a while. So far this week from Monday there have been 22 races for a win return of 38.12 (12 win from 22) and place return of 28.57 (18 from 22). Both of those is taking the favourite as it appears on Betfair before jump.

We target a 'hot' venue and bet the favourites in every race.

Tomorrows hot venues are:

Canterbury
Murray Bridge
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  #2  
Old 20th April 2010, 04:19 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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How do you calculate a "hot" venue.?

Cheers
darky
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  #3  
Old 21st April 2010, 04:23 PM
thorns thorns is offline
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Well horror day at both venues with only one fav saluting for the win.
The winner paid $4 on BF, and the place return was 11 units on a outlay of 16.

Overall
39 races
Win Return: 42.12
Plc return: 39.56

Tomorrows venues:
Naracoorte
Gosford*

*Gosford is a fav punters graveyard from my stats, so be interesting to see how it performs.
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  #4  
Old 21st April 2010, 06:01 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Favs today (Wed 21/04/10

They had a terrible result today with only 35% of the Favs for all venues , running a place instead of the average of 62%

17% won.

It had 23 outs in a row at one stage.
Which is to be expected at some stage as per theoretical run of outs
at 30%SR.

Funny aah

It shows the value of having a stop loss set for the day.
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Cheers.
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  #5  
Old 22nd April 2010, 04:50 PM
thorns thorns is offline
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Gosford
8 races
Win return: 6.34
Plc return: 8.19

Naracoorte
8 races
Win return: 14.42
Plc return: 10.74

Tomorrow Scone is a qualifier
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  #6  
Old 24th April 2010, 09:07 AM
thorns thorns is offline
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Scone 8 races
Win ret: 4.37
Plc ret: 9.56


No qualifiers for today
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