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  #11  
Old 22nd September 2010, 07:49 AM
TWOBETS TWOBETS is offline
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Thumbs up In a nutshell Michal !

I'm most impressed with these observations Michal. They are I believe the very essence of the difficulty of turning a system into an income. Remember bryzz that even if that system did great all year there's nothing to say it wouldn't all go belly up for a year after that.

Real time betting is critical to system testing, and I also believe a system hasn't proven itself until you're COMFORTABLE putting income earning sized wagers on.

One of the reasons I ended up doing short prices only was because the consistency factor is so much easier to handle.
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  #12  
Old 22nd September 2010, 08:51 AM
bryz55 bryz55 is offline
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Ok then there's only one more thing to do befor I go live. What is the cheapest system testing data base that goes back five years? I feel quite confident that it may hold up maybe not at that POT but with the price range, the profit isn't made up of just a few big dividends. And take any section of the sample time and the s/r is very similar. I believe the use of best tote will help too which hasn't been factored in.

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  #13  
Old 22nd September 2010, 09:18 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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There is a free online one around here some where but not sure how accurate it is, there is also one for sale on this website.
http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17950
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  #14  
Old 24th September 2010, 08:55 AM
jfc jfc is offline
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http://statpages.org/confint.html

This indispensable tool shows your observed strike rate of 52/158 reduces to sustainable one of 25.65%.

Suggesting a sustainable POT of 11% rather than the observed 37.8%.
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