Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 21st December 2010, 05:52 AM
tedbluegum tedbluegum is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 36
Default Lay Filters

Hi All

Merry Xmas and a Happy $ making New Year
Thanks to all the contributors to this forum over the year.

My Query - Filters used when considering laying
I use the following

No Maidens or Jumps races
No races where there are more than 3 first uppers/starters

And also filter with-

Number 1 Radio Tab Tip
Unitab Favourite
Betfair Favourite
Unitab 100 points rating

Any additions or advice?

Regards
Ted
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 21st December 2010, 06:17 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Tedbluegum, the queen of laying, Maria, would not lay anything over $11. Wouldn't a price limit also be appropriate to your filters?

Your filters seem to prevent fancied horses being selected in your system. Maybe you are looking for horses that aren't too high a price and are not too favoured by Unitab and Betfair sites. Your selections would only be identified towards jump time to ensure they are neither the Unitab or Betfair fave.

I'm not Laying at the moment, but I preferred to know what my Lay selections long before the actual race.

As a matter of interest, laying can now be done prior to the race via the S.P facility where you can nominate your max price.

Last edited by michaelg : 21st December 2010 at 06:20 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 21st December 2010, 06:28 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

really any filters you use for backing can be used for laying. The best filters are rankings and ratings.

As far as price filter I suggest nothing over $15. If you have a high selection method then I would even suggest nothing over $5.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 21st December 2010, 09:00 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

If you wish to test some of your ideas on a 2 year data base , free.

You may like to try (Google) OnlineSystemBuilder.

Some suggestions you may like to try...

.Target Barrier No.3 only.
Then place your filters over these runners to find qualifier.
This will save you a lot of time & its very accurate, most days of the week.
You will notice how many of these don't win & also the number that get scratched- strange.

.Price range 5.00 - 11.00

.Bet .60 per $100.00 Bank.
The Liability will be lower on low priced runners & higher on high priced runners, where their chance of winning is usually less.
This will keep your confidence up , if we strike a bad run.

.Target one selection per venue .
For stronger, more consistent SR.
e.g. 10 venues = 10 qualifying selections for the day.
The reason for just one per venue is to try & avoid those days where a certain pattern repeats itself all day & that pattern may just be you filtering process winning instead of losing.

If all 10 are successful , you have just increased your bank by 6% which is considered a brilliant result , because its not always easy to do, all the time, but we have a mathematical edge if we restrict ourselves to just 1 qualifier per venue.
You are now a genius on the punt.

P.S.
There are very few punters who have the discipline to control themselves to 1 selection a venue, that's ,why most lose in the end.

This one rule on its own, will make most lay systems percentage SR, a lot stronger.

There will be others who will argue differently ,rightly or wrongly & that's fine.
In lay betting , the more bets that are made at that venue , the greater the chance of being bit.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:53 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655