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  #31  
Old 28th January 2011, 06:30 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Yes, only one accident - it paid $1.50 on Betfair S.P. The profit for the day was $17.12.

If the selections were laid at S.P. prices for a flat stake of $30 then the profit would have been about $210. However the liability would have been much higher.

Over the two days of listing the selections here and laying then on S.P, there have been 32 smiles from 35 selections for a profit of $71.27.

Its amazing that the neural top selection (max of 199.5 neural points and minimum 10 runners) currently has such a poor strike rate even though there has only been a paltry 35 selections. My testing period also showed a poor strike rate, so there might be merit. I'm somewhat pessimistic, but time will tell.
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  #32  
Old 28th January 2011, 09:47 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's selections are:

Ballina
3/1
4/1
5/2
6/1
7/4

Goulburn
3/2
4/4
6/6

Ipswich
2/4
5/13

Mornington
4/9
8/5

Sun Coast
4/4
7/2

Canterbury
2/5
5/1
6/10
7/3

Moonee Valley
7/11

Again, there's quite a few pre-post faves today. It does make one wonder why there has been such a poor strike rate. Hopefully it will continue.
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  #33  
Old 28th January 2011, 03:41 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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I made an error - I'm still on pain killers so I'll again put it down to them.

I incorrectly stated Ballina 3/1 was the selection - it was not, the real selection was no.8 (can be checked on the neural website), which was unplaced. Because I listed no.1 as the selection I'll have to record it as an accident. In spite of that, the method is currently $18.93 in profit.

If I had not made the mistake, the method would be a further $30 (the non-accident) and $5.59 in front giving an overall profit of $54.52.
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  #34  
Old 29th January 2011, 06:17 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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From yesterday's 19 selections there were 4 accidents for a loss of $21.27.

After three days the profit is exactly $50.

However, if I hadn't listed the wrong selection in Ballina R3, yesterday's result would have been a profit of $14.83. And after the three days the profit would have been $85.51, which is the true result of the system.
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  #35  
Old 29th January 2011, 11:00 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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The method has shown a genuine profit for the three days. Hopefully it'll continue even though the selection process is illogical for laying.

Randwick
8/3

Sandown
2/1

Dombeen
1/5
2/1
3/4
6/1

Morphetville
2/1
6/5

Seymour
4/6
6/4
8/14

Kembla
6/1

Coonamble
3/3
4/9
7/2

Armidale
2/6
6/5

Gold Coast
4/1
6/12
8/4

Toowoomba
5/1

Ascot
6/1
7/5
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  #36  
Old 29th January 2011, 11:23 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Hi michaelg

Gee, I wish you had have listed these 30 minutes earlier. It would have saved me looking them up myself...lol

I'm laying these with my bot but, as I try and do something else with the bot. I'm only going to lay these for $3 liability (so 1/10th of your $30 liability).

Have you tried doing these on a Saturday before?

Good luck today by the way.
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  #37  
Old 29th January 2011, 11:38 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Pity I can't lay them for a liability of $3. But at the moment that might be good because my profit would have been only 1/10 of what it currently is.

I wait for the scratchings at W.A. to be loaded before listing all the selections here. However if the system continues to be successful I'll show the selections before the W.A. scratchings are recorded.

No, I've not layed the method on Saturday, but my experience shows that the top neural selections generally perform worse on Saturdays, so I'm hopeful. After saying that, today might just kill the method.

Good luck.
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  #38  
Old 29th January 2011, 02:56 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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What a c&*t of a day so far.

The system I'm trying just blew up in my face and this laying the neural system has already had at least 4 accidents. I got so ********ed off I've just shut down my bot and haven't even put it in simulation mode (which is very much unlike me). FFS!!!

I don't have much money left but it's back to the drawing board.
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  #39  
Old 29th January 2011, 04:41 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Yes, it was a terrible start. However it has picked up and it is currently a few dollars in front with six more races to go.
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  #40  
Old 29th January 2011, 07:49 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Not a bad day today. There were 19 smiles from the 23 selections for a profit of $37.06.
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