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  #1  
Old 8th June 2011, 10:46 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,788
Wink Betting System

I have been looking at a Bet system for the past three days that have multiple selections, and has performed quite well. There have been 21 winners from 27 races, and has shown a profit for each of the three days, what is encouraging is that I have been using NSW TAB divvies. Over these 3 days my results are showing slightly better than a POT of 50%

I only bet on races between 8 and 11 runners, and have now noticed on another thread that Stix has quoted neural results for races that have 6 to 10 runners. They show a POT of 7.7%. My method is also based on the neurals, so I would assume these "few runner races" are the way to go. My selections were compiled prior to each day's racing.

If anyone is interested here are today's selections. The reason I have decided to list the selections here before testing them further is because of Stix's good results:

Canterbury
3/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6

Moonee Valley
2/ 1, 6, 7, 8, 12
3/ 2, 4, 5, 9, 13
4/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 7
5/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 11
6/ 5, 6, 8, 11, 12
7/ 1, 2, 3, 7, 8,
8/ 1, 2, 3, 9, 11

M'ville
4/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
5/ 1, 5, 6, 8, 9

Sun Coast
3/ 1, 2, 4, 6,
6/ 1, 3, 4, 6, 7,

Belmont
1/ 2, 3, 4, 11
3/ 1, 2, 5, 6

Total Outlay $67.

Hopefully the Curse will not raise its ugly head as it usually does.

Last edited by michaelg : 8th June 2011 at 10:50 AM.
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  #2  
Old 9th June 2011, 01:45 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Bullocks & double Bullocks to curses.

I feel you will have some strong div days.

But I also believe you will find, its the short prices getting up all day, that will make the idea more or less break even long term.

If using TAB prices.
Betfair I feel will give a stronger edge.

If the 1st & 2nd fav could be neutralised to break even some how , it may turn it into profit.

Maybe something like ...
1.30 units on <=5.00 or top 2 selections.
1.00 unit on =>5.20 or 3-5th sels.

Cheers.
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  #3  
Old 9th June 2011, 06:32 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,788
Wink

Yes, bullocks!

To omit the short-priced horses I would have to be at my computer which unfortunately I can't.

I can't even rely on the Tele market to filter out any selections. Oh well, back to laying...
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  #4  
Old 9th June 2011, 09:24 PM
Stix Stix is offline
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Posts: 3,012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
I have been looking at a Bet system for the past three days that have multiple selections, and has performed quite well. There have been 21 winners from 27 races, and has shown a profit for each of the three days, what is encouraging is that I have been using NSW TAB divvies. Over these 3 days my results are showing slightly better than a POT of 50%

I only bet on races between 8 and 11 runners, and have now noticed on another thread that Stix has quoted neural results for races that have 6 to 10 runners. They show a POT of 7.7%. My method is also based on the neurals, so I would assume these "few runner races" are the way to go. My selections were compiled prior to each day's racing.

If anyone is interested here are today's selections. The reason I have decided to list the selections here before testing them further is because of Stix's good results:

Canterbury
3/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6

Moonee Valley
2/ 1, 6, 7, 8, 12
3/ 2, 4, 5, 9, 13
4/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 7
5/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 11
6/ 5, 6, 8, 11, 12
7/ 1, 2, 3, 7, 8,
8/ 1, 2, 3, 9, 11

M'ville
4/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
5/ 1, 5, 6, 8, 9

Sun Coast
3/ 1, 2, 4, 6,
6/ 1, 3, 4, 6, 7,

Belmont
1/ 2, 3, 4, 11
3/ 1, 2, 5, 6

Total Outlay $67.

Hopefully the Curse will not raise its ugly head as it usually does.
Races 6-10...not runners mate
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