I've got 2,892 last start winners at the Valley.
876 of them were leading at the 400m mark, or 30% of them.
1345 were running first or second at the 400m mark, or 46.51%
So this is leading before the home turn, as the straight is 173m long.
1,750 were in the top 3 on pacers at the 400m mark, which equates to 60.51%

What's missing from this is the situation where it's a distance race and the leader pinches a break of 2 or 3 lengths or more.

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Just like Shakira's hips, 'the stats don't lie'!!

Please pardon the pun Chrome Prince it's been a long day.

How to these stats at the Valley compare to leaders at the 400m mark at all tracks, or other Melbourne tracks?

Is there a definite advantage, just from my own betting experience I'd say so. I've been wary of Moonee Valley for a long time.

The Schmile

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The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Two for today that may have reached their top.

Strathalbyn
r6 n1 Meadows Dan - up 2 kg's for last win in the same company.

Doomben
r5 n2 Danish Whiskey - up 3kg's for last start win in c3. All wins on Good tracks.

Lay up to $5.

The Schmile

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Nice !!!
Both missed the place

Hi Om Sharntee,

Thanks it was a good result today. There are lots of examples each week of horses lumped with excessive weight after a victory.

Isolate those last start winners without much more improvement in them this preparation.

The Schmile

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Tamworth
r5 - n5 We Sing We Dance - drops 550 metres from last start 3rd over 2150.

The Schmile

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty