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#11
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I always thought the most useful aspect of time was how it related to pace in a race.
thus if your pick is tailed off and they run some" cheap sectionals" it would have no chance as the race would become a quarter-horse finish down the straight. so you discard the run. next time under similar conditions where there is a couple of early speedsters in the field you may feel that your pick maybe will be steaming home over the top and represents good value that's as far as i could get with it. |
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#12
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Quote:
Well I definitely wouldn't be laying anything at $25 but a bot could be set up to lay your own selections in running if they come down to a certain price. If they are virtually leading all the way but then tiring then you would think the price would come down to maybe $3 or $4 (or less). The bot would fire off a bet and hopefully get matched and if it wins you haven't lost so much. I guess it depends on strike rates and the like. |
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#13
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Quote:
If I recall the sheets i provided were in response the contact address you provided. 1 sheet detailed time adjustments one needed to make when comparing a runners time from any track to The Meadows. The other just detailed the average winners time for every track in Australia over all distances each sheet provided a count as to the confidence/validity of the data. |
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#14
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I don't collect any data from BF. I have very good records as to the selections final TAB prices and finish positions so I could work out the position on lays, but if there is a diff. between "in running" and final price than I'd waste my time. Thanks to all who replied. As I said before, I gave up on time rating some time ago only looked at it recently again, it's not something one can do easily, it's more like a black art, too many variables. |
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#15
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Phil Purser of "justracing" uses them but god knows why.?
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#16
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I'm not sure lomaca as to in running prices. My bot can tell you what the highest and lowest the horse traded at but doesn't give how much money was bet at each level.
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#17
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I think I stick to what I know best, here is an example how bad my time rating is compared to my class rating. (see time text) Race 6 Pinjarra, you'd think a 1000 M race would be ideally suited for time rating, and yet? (see class text) Unfortunately the nemesis of not being able to get matched for the full amount struck again, but this time not too bad. (see BF text) |
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#18
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PIJ race 8 Class No, 6, 9, 7 Time No, 3 ,11 13 |
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#19
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Hope you got some of the TRI Iomaca.
__________________
Jose'. |
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#20
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Trust me, I had so many two legged tries and three legged quadies that I can't be bothered anymore with multiples. I would be hard pressed to pick an exa in a two horse race. Sad but true. Good luck Ps should I strech my luck? Here it goes, no bets again Race 9 PIJ Class 2,5,16,3 Time 6,12,5,10 Last edited by lomaca : 2nd January 2012 at 07:35 PM. |
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