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#1
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Another System
Not sure where I got this one from.
Highest Av Prizemoney Last Run Won or Ran Within 3 Lengths of Winner Won At Course AND Distance Ist 4 Favs (Doesnt say whether OPENING Fav or at the Jump) I,d assume OPENING as any mug at the TAB can back a horse into Favoritism i.e "Follow the money etc A lot of these systems leave important information out. i.e Horse might be a backmarker and the race is 1000 M. In a case like that you,d make a fortune Laying it . Last edited by darkydog2002 : 20th March 2014 at 10:33 AM. |
#2
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Based on the hard rules:
29.39% SR (Approx 15,000 selections) -14.65% LOT I probably wouldn't proceed any further with trying to refine it, a system I was testing today was 20,000 selections for a -6% LOT and still took some fiddling and additional filters before getting it in reasonable profit at 4,000 selections. |
#3
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Doing some quick fiddling this gives a better result:
15.15% SR (13,000 selection) -3.80% LOT 2nd to 4th on the turn last start Won or less than 2.0 lengths from winner last start Ranked 3rd to 7th on profit won last 3 starts Career Winning Percentage greater than 15% Age 4 to 7y.o Metro Only Closing Price $0 to $30 Note if you add in that the last start was within 10 days you get: 17.77% SR (2,220 selections) 11.12% POT (+247.7 Units) Thats just with some quick fiddling and a database. Personally I think anything that has the highest prizemoney rank, win% rank, API rank or anything of that kind is pretty hard to turn a profit on. You'll hit a high % of winners but you'll drain your bank over time unless someone else can prove otherwise. I think if you look outside of these area's, while the win % is lower and you have to have the balls to trust your system in the run of outs, they will typically give you a better chance of making a dollar. All my opinion but hopefully the above shows how easy and quick it can be to look even slightly outside the square and come up with a profitable angle. |
#4
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Thank You.
I remember the Author now. Neil. Cheers darky |
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