my biggest problem is that I see a bet and think I can win it. Rather than sticking to the bets I know I can win, I get excited by the larger odds and think why not. Some more discipline and I'd be doing much better. I was going to back Kings outright at short odds but I thought maybe I could scrape through with the Tigers as well.

For the next 7 days I'm sticking to sure bets. Once I build up my funds I'll start taking a few more risks, but with small bets.

I believe (and take this how you like because Im not tellin you how to do your business,)stick to what you know best its no good backing everything that moves ,I know ************ all about Basket ball so I dont bet on it .(and Im certainly not gunna take your tips ....sorry just kidding )I did a lump on arsenal(no regrets)last week but I could have covered it with my multis if id have stayed out of Europe and left the exotics alone .........so Ive pulled my head in .......anyway enough advice .....so step back have a beer or a smoke or a smoke or whatever relaxes ya then come out and kick some ********.
Its hard to resist with all the action available.It dosent worry me to have $1 bets just for an interest Just to prove if I can get it right or drop it on some long shots and watch em lead till the turn then fall on there ******** hahaha.with betfair though its a minimum $6( it think its got to do with the exchange rate)so as was the case last week a heap of 6and10 dollar bets soon eats away at any fun you may be havin.. So I topped up my Spodds account this week and Ill be able to open my shoulders and have some cheap multis

[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-10-29 23:24 ]

thanks Floydyboy that's good advice. I'll stick to what I know and see how I go.

by the way I noticed you registered with gooners forums. Hopefully they can be useful with their selections, they seem to know football well.

Dont know if you noticed but ive added to the thread above
Yeah I joined up introduced myself waffled on bla bla bla .
Ive had my nose in their all week .Been a few losers over the last week but the info is invaluable they know every thing we want to know and they seem pleasant an helpful .And theyve got lowdown on whos playing whose not how it might affect the attack or defense etc ************ Marvelous

Well the Breakers didnt play any better at home . The Razorbacks just played even worse. What a turley ******** poor performance from both teams, no one deserved to win that one. Here are the basic stats for the game.

Breakers 7 34% 29%
Razorbacks -7 36% 25%

They play again tonight. Its another home game for the breakers. The odds have moved only slightly from last night.
Breakers(1.90) vs Razorbacks(1.85)
The Razorbacks have shown the ability to reach a higher level then the breakers and have a good chance of winning. They could also play like last night and dig another hole.

"I'll stick to what I know and see how I go."

I want to know basketball so then i can stick to it.

Are the odds always that short Fernando ......

The intangibles in basketball are my big main concern (I guess thats the case with all sports betting)

Here are a few that im looking for answers:
a) The time gap inbetween games
b) Teams coming off wins , losses, and streaks
c) Home and away advantage
d) The altering shooting percentage

And its likely each team will react in a different way to each situation.
Im currently working my way through the last season to get an basic idea. I want to get some rules to highlight danger zones for teams.

No Floyd, you can get some good odds.
The norm seems to be $1.50(home) $2.60(away) for in my opinion a rather even game.

Edit: Sometimes a even game

I have only seen a few 20c-5c gaps in H2H, they come when a strong away team plays a weaker home team.



[ This Message was edited by: Fernando on 2004-10-30 08:40 ]

Ta Fernando
I read a thread the other week that said that the prices are slanted towards the home team and that there is some (here goes that word again) value to be exploited on the away team because of this .

[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-10-30 09:07 ]

Man I was happy to see the Breakers get up last night. Woo Hoo.... Keeps my lardy barge ass alive in my long shot multi's. :grin: