Regals odds would have tripled after 100m, I concede he wasn't the best investment now but i wouldn't drop off him though but maybe wait till he gets back to Caulfield.

Just saw this thread. Can't believe anyone could back Regal Roller first up MV 1200. Gee what's his best track and distance? Where's he trained? After a tough prep, how's he likely to have been treated in the spelling paddock - quietly or kept in work? I can tell you that none of that money in the ring which made him favourite and blew out the super consistent Super Elegant (who the whole world was potting) was from the camp. Sometimes punters outthink themselves, and - looking back at this line - sometimes they outspell themselves too. Damn red wine...

many short priced favorites are backed on reputation and not on the conditions of the race.
yesterday in launceston there was two short priced favorites in the main races.
one from adelaide and fine omens a tasmanian that has won in melbourne.
before fine omens race i commented that his last two wins were at flemington on wet tracks and was strange to see him so short yesterday.
he finished 3rd last on a dry track.
he also has not placed in a group or listed race since march 03 which is a fair while so he was over bet significantly yesterday.
the horse that won the race from barrier one looked the goods and duly saluted.

in the case of super elegant he hadnt done a lot wrong had he.

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laurie

Yeah, likewise. Regal Roller is one of those horses you dream about as a punter, because everything is so clear cut. Personally, I wouldn't really think of betting on him at any other track than Caulfield and when he's at Caulfield over 1400m, he's close to a good thing.

Caulfield (1400m): 9 starts for 7 wins and 2 placings

Caulfield (other distances): 5 starts for 1 win and 1 placing

Other Melb tracks: 8 starts for 1 placing.