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  #1  
Old 8th March 2005, 09:50 AM
xptdriver xptdriver is offline
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Location: Port Macquarie
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Default Tuesday March 8

Gday All..

Back again for another day... let's see how we go..

MACKAY

Race 1 - TOOHEYS HCP (C4)
3 $1.9 EXPRESS MESSENGER
1 $3.5 DUSTY'S MAGIC
4 $6.1 TUSCAN ILLUSION
5 $8.1 CHOSEN CALIBRE

Race 2 - CORPORATE EXPRESS HCP (C6)
2 $1.8 POINTY STICK
4 $3.2 EXPRESS FORCE
3 $7.5 LARCENY
1 $10.0 PROUD BUCK

Race 3 - Q R S E- X X X X GOLD HCP (C3)
2 $1.9 FIRE ANT
4 $3.5 DICTATE PLAY
3 $6.1 RAIN KING
1 $10.8 CHIEF EAGLE EYED

Race 4 - HARRUP PARK COUNTRY CLUB (C1)
7 $2.7 QUALO STAR
2 $3.6 FLUFFIES REEF
3 $6.4 LORD GRANGE
9 $11.1 ALITIES

Race 5 - CORPORATE EXPRESS HCP (C5)
6 $1.9 YA WAHEED
7 $4.4 TYCOON CHARLIE
5 $7.8 WISE THOUGHTS
4 $10.3 SCHOONER OR LATER

Race 6 - MAGUIRES HOTEL MDN HCP
10 $3.0 CHARLEE BUKIT
2 $3.0 EXPLOSIVE GAL
9 $5.4 HIT AND MIST
4 $9.5 MAJOR MICK

Race 7 - WIN TELEVISION HCP (C2)
6 $3.3 PERUGINE STAR
9 $4.4 KENDEL FLYER
5 $6.0 SHE'S VICTORIOUS
1 $10.4 WITLACE
8 $10.4 DOTSWOOD

Race 8 - Q R S E DAILY MERCURY HCP
9 $2.2 CHIEF BULLI
12 $4.0 THE FALCON
4 $7.0 MIGHTY STRONGHOLD
13 $9.4 GLEN IDOL

MILDURA

Race 1 - CUP EVE CRUISE HCP (C2)
6 $2.6 ROYAL PINE
5 $3.5 MALA MATZA
4 $4.7 SPACE BUBBLE
1 $6.2 POLIPHILI
3 $10.9 MILLIE THE TILDA

Race 2 - EASTER POWERSPORTS MDN PLATE
7 $2.2 EARNETTE
2 $3.0 GERINEJAY LAD
1 $7.0 BROWN BUBBLER
3 $9.3 HITSKI

Race 3 - MILDURA GOLF CLUB MDN PLATE
7 $2.2 LADY MONASH
8 $3.9 TEATIME TATTLE
6 $6.8 JUST TAHNEE
2 $9.1 BLUE GARDENIA

Race 4 - HARVEY WORLD TRAVEL HCP (C1)
8 $3.1 SCENTUM
3 $4.1 LADY KISEKI
9 $5.5 KALA CHARM
2 $7.3 FACADE
6 $9.6 WILLIAM HENRY

Race 5 - TOOHEYS NEW HCP
9 $2.6 CROP
11 $4.7 I AM THE MAN
7 $6.2 TORFILA
6 $8.2 POLYESTER BOY
1 $10.9 PICK POCKETER

Race 6 - TRENTHAM ESTATE HCP (C4)
4 $2.2 MARLBOROUGH GIRL
7 $3.8 NOBLESSE
1 $6.7 MER BEBE
6 $9.0 TOPAVIC

Race 7 - CUP CARNIVAL JULY 22-24 HCP-C1
1 $4.5 FINITE
4 $4.5 BLEVANNE
9 $4.5 MISS STARNEE
7 $6.0 BRITAIN DRIVE
10 $8.1 CHARLES HENRY

Race 8 - HAEUSLER'S FARM SUPPLIES MDN
9 $2.1 WHITTIER MISS
2 $2.8 BLIND MAN'S BLUFF
6 $6.6 A LIL LADY
4 $11.8 LEVERET

PORT LINCOLN

Race 1 - NORTHERN'S PLUMBTEC MDN PLATE
1 $2.0 DEVLONE
2 $3.6 MILITARY TATTOO
8 $6.4 AMYJAYE PEARL
4 $8.5 DIRTY DAKS

Race 2 - PARNELL MOGAS HCP (C3)
6 $2.2 RAPTORETTE
3 $3.8 SUMMERGO
1 $6.7 KING OF THE STALLS
4 $9.0 OXFORD ANNIE

Race 3 - C S R BUILDING HCP (C5)
6 $2.0 FEAR REIGN
5 $3.6 KWA HERENI
2 $6.3 SEA RANSOM
4 $8.4 EAGLE JUAN

Race 4 - CADBURY SCHWEPPES HCP (C1)
1 $2.4 URALLA
2 $4.2 MACHENGA
8 $5.6 FAST TAN
5 $7.4 WEST END ECHO

Race 5 - SUPA CHEAP HCP
2 $1.9 RYKO
1 $4.5 BAUDIN
4 $7.9 GREY NIPPER
6 $10.5 BROOKMAN
7 $10.5 KEEP GOING

Race 6 - W. COAST INSURANCE BROKERS-C2
10 $4.3 MARCOZA
3 $5.8 SANDVIEW
7 $5.8 JESTARR HAWK
11 $7.7 LITTLE MISS LINA
1 $10.3 BIG RIPPLER
9 $10.3 MIRACLE GOLD

Race 7 - AIRLINES OF S A HCP (C3)
9 $2.5 JON'S ACCOUNT
2 $4.5 RIVER CHI
3 $6.0 DIGBURY
4 $7.9 SIMONDE
6 $10.5 DIAD

Race 8 - COMPLETE BUSINESS SERV. MDN
1 $2.6 DON QUISTADOR
8 $3.5 CENTRE GAZE
7 $6.3 THEWHOLESHEBANG
6 $11.0 SOVEREIGN MISS
9 $11.0 JODAFOX

WYONG

Race 1 - ORGANIC CROP PROTECTANTS MDN
15 $3.2 GOLDEN DRAKE
7 $4.3 CHIMING IN
1 $5.7 EAGLE OWL
8 $7.7 RAZZOTANO

Race 2 - EASTERN TURFCARE HCP (C1)
2 $2.3 CHEERS FOR JAKE
1 $3.1 NORTHWOOD
5 $4.1 GOOD SAMARITAN
6 $9.7 BARACHEER

Race 3 - PATON FERTILISER MDN PLATE
6 $3.2 ABERGAVENNY ANGEL
4 $4.3 SATURN
7 $5.8 FIFONELLA
11 $7.7 THUNDERCLAP
8 $10.1 LEADLIGHTING

Race 4 - MACLEAN-PARSONS EQUIPMENT (C2)
7 $3.7 CHAMPONY
1 $4.9 ROSE OF KINGS
8 $6.6 HERBATOME
3 $6.6 MEMORIZED
4 $8.8 EVERY DREAM

Race 5 - GREENS HORTICULTURE GP. HCP-C1
6 $2.6 BIRUBI POMP
7 $4.6 DELTA EAGLE
5 $6.1 CHUNKY BELLA
2 $8.0 OUR LIAM
10 $10.6 PAINT BY NUMBERS

Race 6 - MACLEAN'S AUSSIE FLAGS HCP-C6
5 $4.0 LOUP ROUGE
8 $5.3 GOLD DECK
9 $5.3 ATTACHE
6 $7.2 GOLD AGAIN
11 $9.6 LIFELINE EXPRESS

Race 7 - MACLEAN'S LINE MARKING HCP-C3
9 $3.7 MY JOEY
3 $4.9 HAIYAKU
12 $6.6 MYALLA STAR
2 $8.8 FILMARK
8 $8.8 LA BOCA

Race 8 - NUTURF PTY LTD MDN HCP
2 $3.3 DE RIGUEUR
3 $4.4 BLUE MISTRAL
5 $4.4 BRILLANTE FILLETTE
4 $7.8 PRIMA BID
6 $10.3 FLYFORCE
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  #2  
Old 8th March 2005, 12:34 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile Hi XPTDRIVER.

Just experimenting with your rating and pricing structure.
Be interesting to see if it works.
P.LINCOLN
Race 1 horse 1
race 4 horse 1
WYONG
race 2 horse 1
Race 8 horse 2
MILDURA
Race 6 horse 4
Race 8 horse 2
Cheers.
darky.
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  #3  
Old 8th March 2005, 01:34 PM
xptdriver xptdriver is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
Just experimenting with your rating and pricing structure.
Be interesting to see if it works.
P.LINCOLN
Race 1 horse 1
race 4 horse 1
WYONG
race 2 horse 1
Race 8 horse 2
MILDURA
Race 6 horse 4
Race 8 horse 2
Cheers.
darky.


Gday Darky...

Ok.... I will watch and learn I am not sure what I am looking at or for tho .. I am intrigued
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  #4  
Old 8th March 2005, 02:00 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile HI AGAIN XPTDRIVER.

I wondered if I looked at your TOP RATED AT $2.80 +
then looked at those on the DFS rated NSW TAB that were
TOP OF BEST FORM PANEL
TOP OR SECOND IN RECENT FORM PANEL
IF SECOND ON RECENT FORM PANEL MUST BE TOP ON DISTANCE PANEL.

Be interesting to see if it works.
Frankly, I have always liked your work and looking for the best way to use your ratings.
Cheers.
darky.

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  #5  
Old 8th March 2005, 02:07 PM
xptdriver xptdriver is offline
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Gday Darky..

oh ok I am with ya now... I like the DFS form I find it pretty reliable..

I once used to throw the poll points in to get to my rating figure, but havent done so for a long while..

Thanks for the kind words and I hope you mayb have hit on something there with your idea..
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  #6  
Old 8th March 2005, 02:21 PM
maverick1993 maverick1993 is offline
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having a good day today so far with Good Samaritan and sea Ransom saluting....both recent bookers.
Also have Calais Bound but cant get decent odds about him..Our liam is odds on and have Quesidilla in the last
Some smart horses in Calais bound race so unless i get 10/1 or better no bet..because i think he's better over 1400m ..but this race should be run at a cracker and he'll be running on..
Our Liam looks great but wont take odds on..

Interesting gossip on Fireant ...the owners couldnt sell him down here and were asking $500 ...out of desperation they sent him up there and he's won a couple of races allready...really nice people own him and its good to see battlers get a break every now and then..to bad he was scratched today..he was right in this..
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  #7  
Old 8th March 2005, 02:28 PM
maverick1993 maverick1993 is offline
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Hi X.

noticed Wyong Race 7 you dont rate Chevington ,,is it because of the 1350m ? because he won well last start..

and with Pushpig ...good record 2nd up,, good association with Jay and raced in way harder races than this..

I think its a good betting race..a great trifecta race..
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  #8  
Old 8th March 2005, 02:45 PM
xptdriver xptdriver is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maverick1993
Hi X.

noticed Wyong Race 7 you dont rate Chevington ,,is it because of the 1350m ? because he won well last start..

and with Pushpig ...good record 2nd up,, good association with Jay and raced in way harder races than this..

I think its a good betting race..a great trifecta race..


Gday maverick,,

Because my ratings are pretty mechanical, they sometimes throw up some strange strange ratings.. sometimes the strange ones romp in at 30/1... that's the punt.. My ratings take into account weight differences between indvidual runners.. in this race Chevington is 2.5 (equal top weight) over the limit.. I know it is a compressed weight spread.. so it is penalised accordingly, whereas horses on the limit are given a tick for being on the limit.. I think that by using weight this way, brings up some of the 'on the limit' horses and they are usually at value prices. There are other variable in play as well..

Having said that, I cannot argue with your logic in this race.. I am not entirely comfortable with how this race has come out.. Also there was another very very dodgy race at Mildura ( a very very ordinary Open) where I ended up with Crop on top.. that was the weight variable that pushed it to the top... it was on the limit whereas the spread of weights was 6 kilos sometimes this is the one rating variable that brings in the profits.. other days it can cost me..
Hope that explains things a bit.. Having said that, whilst the weight difference from the limit is important it is not the only variable I use to arrive at my figures
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  #9  
Old 8th March 2005, 02:52 PM
maverick1993 maverick1993 is offline
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Yep..understand X

Is McKeon the Beadman of Nth Qld ?? If he was on anything else it wouldv'e been 20/1...doesnt like the wet doesnt like the distance.....
should be thankfull i didnt have a go .but still feel like i missed the boat on Our Liam,,,
Oh well....go Quesadilla and PushPig..i just love that name...
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  #10  
Old 8th March 2005, 03:10 PM
xptdriver xptdriver is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maverick1993
Yep..understand X

but still feel like i missed the boat on Our Liam,,,
Oh well....go Quesadilla and PushPig..i just love that name...


Gday Maverick...

I think in the long run you are wiser to leave those real real shorties (Our Liam) alone... the old saying is a wise one i reckon in MOST cases... odds on look on.. Ofcourse there is the odd exception to the rule... Grand Armee last sat springs to mind..
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