As i said in the other thread i will throw up some discussion on the sydney races. I will let you know that the form is mainly done on paper and from what i remeber from my initial viewing of the race i.e. i havn't analysed race replays videos etc. But at least they provide some building blocks.

Race 1

I think every man and his dog will be on Tick By this weekend. I think she will win the Caulfield cup and she may well win this week but i don't think there will be any value in her. Above deck has an impeccable record over the track and distance, and with Men At work running this afternoon we should be able to frank the form of Above's last run - O'Hara on board with the claim, should be a good chance. Fooram must also be rated a good chance on her last run, 4th run in now should be in peak form and has beadman on board which is both a plus (great rider) and a minus (price cruncher). Dial Tones has a great strike rate at his home track rosehill but his past few have been over much shorter distances. In summary i think that if any price is available about tick by then grab it, value could lie with Above deck.

Whoa this is like a novel

Race 2

I like midnight city here. third up from spell should be cherry ripe, beaten last start by collate and collate came out and beat some smart older horses yesterday with reletive ease. He gets the claim for fuji so weight shouldn't be an issue. Only querry is the distance and i don;t have much knowledge on sires and breeding etc, but from looking at the sire index of Lion Hunter it would appear his progeny are best over the sprint journeys 1000-1300 metres. He ran in the TJ smith over a mile and finished 14/19 but that is group one as compared to this group 6 event.

Master strategy steps up in class on his last run but is reaching peak fitness, poor winning strike rate however.

And chess record has been pretty impressive, he could ping to the front and dictate terms. Most of the other form is through chess record last start and none of those horses looked like beating him.

Race 3

I'll be leaving gonski alone here, massive hype on this horse and he was well beaten last start. He was unlucky in the run but he wouldnt have won anyway. I think De Beers will win, i liked denmarket in the roman consul, and therefore like de beers here as a narrow defeat to denmarket last start. De beers won second up over this journey last time in and has class on his side. That win was on slow ground but will trust he is just as good on the dry. Blizzardly needs another run under her belt i think. Next best Longhorn.

Race 4

Not that interested in this race to be honest.

If you went on Shes in demands third to nevis she would have to blitz these, but last too runs poor. Maybe coolroom candidate, i think its suited by the rosehill circuit, will be up on the pace and should have every chance (have you noticed how many of these racing cliches i have used . Kannadah queen/diamonic to pull out a nice run fresh?

Race 5

Tough race, a lot of horses first up/early in prep. Like Dance the Waves here, narrow loss to red oog is excellent form, great record second up - good jock, gets all the ticks. Sam sung a song based on his first up run last time in has to be a chance if he has come up that well this prep ( ibelieve he was put away after an injury - anyone shed some light). Presently third up, peak fitness, not far away in that race dance the waves comes through. Vionetto beaten 1.8 by collate last start, collate obviously a very smart horse. And segments/all bar one have good first up records.

Cheers

Saturday tips already??? Boy, you don't muck around!

Then again, this is about the time the newspaper & form guide tipsters have to complete their tips.

I have decided not to punt during the week, so obviously that frees up the time to saturdays form.

sometimes i think thats a great idea.... i just dont put in the time during the week...just havent got it,,
and then i jag some outsider and it sucks me back in..
sort of like Golf ..you'll hit that one real good tiger woods shot and that'll be enough to get you back on the course next week ,,even if you broke the hundred.
I've been tweaking my ratings of late looking for the nice price winners...but the runs of outs can try your patience

Love the Summary TS doesnt look an easy day in Sydney ,,but then again when is it ever easy.

Yeh its just new my non-weekday-punting-policy. I don't seem to enjoy it as much as saturday and saturday is even more enjoyable with the anticipation. The animals are a lot better (usually) on saturdays.

Hey TS, What do we do after race 5?????
Thats ok anyway I'll be watchin the crows kick some booty!! Like Chess record and will certainly peruse your thoughts on saturday... pretty good card in sydney, hopefully theres a winner or two there for us..
Good luck

__________________
get in the Q

RE: Sam Sung A Song

He is a great little horse. Wasn't put out by injury as such, but Bled. (ie blood from the lungs). Automatic 3 months disqualification.

If he bleeds again he is banned from racing forever.

I know a part owner. Nice barrier trial recently without doing too much. Could be a good first up.

From Race 6 onwards early thoughts as follows:

RACE 6

The Dragon, The Dragon the Dragon. This is a real horse this fellow. Don't like my chances of getting better than $2.20 or so though.

RACE 7

I like Mummify. Dry track will suit him (if it is dry). Hard to go past a horse that beat a 'world class field' in the Singapore QEII over 2000m. A bit flat in Melbourne last start in the Craiglee Stakes, but first up over a mile, I can forgive that. He also won the Group 1 Yalumba over 2000m last Spring, so I like him at the distance. I like him for the Cox Plate if well drawn and the track is dry.

RACE 8

Fashions Afield is a 'bridesmaid worry' at this stage. Ascot Vale Stakes Run was a huge dissappointment for the punters, but the Flemington straight 6 Furlongs isn't every horses' cup of tea. But for some reason I just can take her at $2.50 or whatever she will start at. I like Carry on Cutie for value with Mnemosyne being the obvious form horse.

RACE 9

I've had my doubts about Lotteria, but in that field it is hard to go past her.


Good punting

The Pud

Oh soz about that, it must have been to long when i copy and pasted it so the last 4 races didnt come out.

Race 6
If you stick with pendragon you will collect at some point in time - probably/hopefully this week. We all kno the form around paratroopers is second to none - i think he will win. I think that if the form around primus holds up (which i think it will) replicator a chance. Rest of the field i thought was pretty even, stop the traffic for a place.

Race 7
Liked bush honeys last run and i think she will go horse, underated i reckon - should be ok odds. Wild iris ran an improved race in the same event and it would be good to recapture her 3 yr old form. The longer distance will help dizelle, but i want to see her do it - i am not convinced, she is too one dimensional. If she does nothing this week, don;t expect her to do anything for the rest of the spring.

Race 8
These sort of races of late have been deviating from the script in that the lesser known/hyped horses have been coming out and beating the ones who have come through the slipper and those form lines. I think those sydney fillies are just a really even bunch and it is not really a case of one being that much better than the rest but more who runs the best race on the day. That said, i think carry on cutie should be ready to show her best but i wouldn;t be suprised to see anything in the field win.

Race 9
The three i like her all ran in the same race last time. Lotteria (2nd), Utzon (3rd) and studebaker (4th). Shania is flying at the moment and close up runs to her is great form. I think lotteria will dictate and win although the other two could test her, with the extra fitness now on their side.

- Cheers

As I've gone and deleted Carry On Cutie from my Fantasy Stable, that makes her pretty much a certainty I guess.

All Bar One in race five is definitely one to watch. I'm from Brissie and watched him lead all the in two recent wins before finishing a gallant third in Group three. One for the future for sure.

He's listed at $9 in the paper but i won't be surprised if he starts alot shorter than that on Saturday, maybe even favourite.

Race Nine I like Lotteria. I too am a little iffy about this horse and personally I don't think it is a frontrunner, but what do I know. We haven't seen the best of this horse and I want to make sure I'm on it when we do.