For what it's worth fellas, my tips are Aqua D'amore from Precise Timing. I do a thing based on numbers though and numbers aren't good at nuances.
I'm reminded of a line in a 1940s film about a young doctor who says of his tutor (Dr MacFarlane): 'MacFarlane taught me the mathematics of anatomy but he couldn't teach me the poetry of medicine.' Malcolm, of course, must be considered an excellent chance but there are a few unknowns about him. I suppose that's why it's called 'gambling'.