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Doomben Saturday Races
Hi guys...hopefully a few winners here again..we did well last week so we need to keep it up..cant wait to get back to Doomben...missed the racing there and the fantastic weather..
Race 1. Alot of horses here evenly rated,,,,,i've settled on the two Wallace runners Duke Sam and Bitabiff ,,both have the good draws and enough barrier speed to take advantage of it....I cant see any value in Mr Sportsman, Mesmorizing and Masai Pride who need all need luck in running,,the big field and likely speed should give them there chance but its alot of ifs anf buts...Duke Sam has got the figures here distance and track ,,and Bitabiff in good form and didnt shirk his task last start both around the double figure odds...another one here at odds Con Con is worth a look..this horse 2 starts ago just jumped out of the ground,,never got into it last start but didnt jump well has a Jockey whos in form that would like nothing more to stick it to some of these Brissie jocks as hes had a few rides here of late and done nothing,,,gets his chance on Con Con tomorrow.. Duke Sam, Bitabiff, Con Con and go very wide in the multis.. Race 2. Really like Mameluke ,,,looked fantastic last start (granted on the bigger track) but he gets the speed he needs and with the light weight will be flying again late...Motivate interests me here...his runs although frustrating havent been bad at all..the type of horse who finds bad luck all the time,,i think he finds it hard to change gears with weight be he only has 55 here and gets the speed up front he needs in a race he might find easier than he has of late..... I have these two on top....rampant lion, fiery sunset the next.... Race 3. I dont like this race much...its giving me a head ache but i've settled on Pirate Queen..this horse is ultra consistent if you foget last start where she just didnt get into to it at all..bred to apreciate alittle longer and the gun jock on board,,,, prey for peace is the other that rates high,,,takes awhile to balance up so the extra distance will help.. Race 4. I'm all over Classic Karla ,,,has been very good all this prep , weighted well and is well in this race against this field..Performs well on this track even though the open spaces would suit across the road better,,(26's for the cup ) he is good enough to win here,,,,Bazelle needed the run last start and will be improved and the other danger Bohemian Dancer who also races ok on this track,,,did well last start after having an off day the start before..... work tri around these 3 and include of course Douro Valley and the kiwi,,,,Classic Karla will win go the Brissie horses.. Race 5. I'll be at the track and if Sir Breaky is jumping out of his skin i'll be on...from the inside hes good enough to take a position and can pounce on the them in the straight,,,stack of speed here and a very good race... Starlactic with the weight drop and excellent record,,should have won 7 straight,, you could almost give the whole field a good chance in this,,,i went looking for the horse with the good run... Shysu should lead and looked excellent in a recent trial,,Sir Breaky just behind on the rails,,,these the two to be backing in this race,,,,should be able to back both as they'll come for a few in this,,, blink and you'll miss it.... Race 6. Hard to go past Belmonte,,and beleive me i've triied to find something...the only horse that are maybe a chance Our Roman Chariot and Vision and Power....i find it interesting to see Master Dennis in this race ..can he run this distance ?? is he showing enough on the training track to make Ab think he can run this ??risky but if your crazy and hate the shorties have something on e/w Race 7. The big one...with the speed up front i'm looking at St Basil and Show Biz Kid,,,,SBK finally draws a barrier and will just need some room in the straight..to bad about the straddie but hes in good enough form to win this race instead,,,.St Basil will be coming down the outside and go mighty close but he'll need some luck...will have enough good horses back there with him so he could the perfect cart into the race... Red Oog, SHania Dane , Daunting LAd the dangers... I'll be playing with tris ect but at the odds SBK looks a nice bet,,, Interesting to hear that Colless thinks All BAr One can win this...and that he has enough control of him to even take the sit,,hes the master and i'll be keeping him very safe,,, Race 8. Single Rose, My Son Day, Nova Star, Mosso, ...these the top four,,, Not many horses raced very well after that 22nd e/f track and Single Rose was the same..i expect a huge improvement in her that puts her on top here...just has to run near that run to beat these..,, Nova Star's run at the Gold Coast was incredible,,was a stack of speed on that day so maybe alittle flatering...even still she made an enormous amount of ground up on a day hardly any horses were,,, Mosso has ability and will keep safe and My Son Day raced well last start,,,this is way harder though... Single Rose the best bet.. Best Bets.. Mameluke, Duke Sam, Shysu, Belmonte , Single Rose Best e/w's Show Biz Kid , Classic Karla Good Luck All |
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