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Old 9th August 2006, 06:24 AM
jfc jfc is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AssumeTheCrown
Nice to know i got an answer right JFC!
I dont think I would test positive to testosterone like Floyd but may register on the breathometer after a weekend on the bottle.
Gotta love your probability quizzes. I remember doing STATS 101 in my first year at Uni and coming across the Monty Python - 3 doors problem for the first time in the end of year exam. I ended up spending the whole 2 hours on the question and happened to be the only one that got it right! I think that day kick started my career as a statistician turned punter.

Cheers
ATC


ATC,

While both of us seem to find this stuff not only fascinating but also wealth-optimising, apparently we are in the vast minority.

The problems are relevant, not all that hard, yet reasonably challenging. And whether you get them right or wrong, you'll probably end up learning something useful.

But since there appear to be no other takers, you may undisqualify yourself.

Once these are resolved, I'll pose a follow up that comes even closer to real AFL life.

Restating Problem 2:

Under same terms as before,

4 Rounds left

B is 2 games behind A

What is the probability of B overtaking A?


Problem 3:

The general solution.

# Rounds Remaining = Column A
# Games B is behind A = Column B

In Column C give the formula for B overtaking A.
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