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I just thought I would post an example on how important consistency is in system development. Here is an example of a bad system :
Month 1 : 177 Bets with a Profit 20% Month 2 : 133 Bets with a Profit 25% Month 3 : 125 Bets with a Profit 22% From here a lot of people would start betting the system Month 4 : 115 bets Loss of 5% Month 5 : 126 bets Loss of 4% Month 6 : 110 bets Profit of 15% Month 7 : 150 bets Loss 50% Month 8 : 117 bets Loss 30% Month 9 : 105 bets loss 40% Alternatively I also have a system that does the following : Month 1 : 5 bets with a Profit 400% Month 2 : 7 bets with a Profit 300% Month 3 : 9 bets with a Profit 122% Month 4 : 3 bets with a Profit 105% Month 5 : 5 bets Loss of 4% Month 6 : 5 bets with a Profit 240% Month 7 : 6 bets with a Profit 350% Month 8 : 4 bets with a Profit 100% Month 9 : 5 bets with a Profit 520% I prefer to use this system altought it doesn't have many bets becasue it is more consistent on the results. ie 8 months in profit out of 9 whereas the other is only profitable 4 out of 9 months. I would say you need a minimum of 2 years testing before you can declare a system consisitent. Good Luck. |
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