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With level stakes betting , one also have to pick a winner or two.
So we are back to square one again. Here is a modified version of the Retirement plan. Start the divisor at 6 then use in lots of 2 ...say target is $60. 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 ect. Regress one pt after each winner. Restart once any profit is made. Example of divisor used. 6 6 7 7 8 8 9w 8 8 9 9w 8 8w 7 7w 6 6w 6w 6w ect. Never drop below divisor 6 $1000 bank 60 / 6 = 10 70 / 6 = 12 82 / 7 = 12 94 / 7 = 13 104 / 8 = 13 117 / 8 = 15w 2/1 $30 87 / 7 = 12 99 / 7 =14 113 / 8 = 14w 2/1 $28 85 / 7 = 12 97 / 7 = 14w 2/1 $28 69 / 6 = 12 81 / 6 = 14 95 / 7 = 14 109 / 7 = 16 125 / 8 = 16w 2/1 $32 93 / 7 = 13 w 2/1 $26 67 / 6 = 11 78 / 6 = 13 91 /7 = 13 104 / 7 = 15 w 2/1 $30 74 / 6 = 12 w 2/1 $24 50. Now in profit by +$10 O/L $290 = +3.45% POT. Time to start again. Average bet size $13.18 Level stakes -1 = -4.5% LOT. $13 level stakes bets O/L 286 = -$13 Loss 7 from 22 = 32% SR Chasing IAS Favs. One could go back 2 pts if a 4/1 shot gets up. (Optional) If the bets start making you feel un-easy, simply add two points to the divisor. I diliberatly used 2/1 to make it difficult & also to avoid the one big paying winner thing, that commercial products throw in to make prospective punters eyes go big. I am assuming ones average selections picks the odd 4/1 winner, to make this plan kick along. Try it out on ones past results to see if it suits ones style. If used properly, there is a greater chance of showing a profit over say a week using a sensible selection criteria, than most level stakes selection plans. SELECTIONS If your selections suck big time , one may like to check out this idea. Target your favorite tipsters first selection, most tipsters SR are 25% accross the board through out the year. Now, only bet their first selection if it's paying $3.20+ at jump time ,any less & its a no-bet for that race. The reason for this , is that it is a bad idea to chase bad value. You will also see how many of the short priced horses actually dont win. e.g. Desert War at $2.20, its a certanty , cant lose , maybe the 2nd Fav at $2.90 is a threat. Result , both fell over, beaten by some box headed thing at big odds.. At that price , they deserve to be both ignored. Cheers.
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