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Old 22nd June 2007, 09:08 PM
Raw Instinct Raw Instinct is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,628
Default Tatts Day Tips

Race 1: interesting race to start the day could give a chance to a few in this I expect Craiglea Emma to be a shortish fav around the $3 mark and probably deservably so but it isn't like it is unbeatable either, I feel Instructed and Stylish Qualo would both be pretty decent chances depending on track conditions no idea whether it is raining there or not if wet I'd consider Tudor Quest a rough chance aswell. I expect that Stylish Qualo will be better odds of the 1st 3 I mentioned and will have a bit e/w on him if the odds are there to do so if not and the track is wet then I might just settle with e/w Tudor Quest over all of them value wise, got the right Jockey on for me lately

Race 2: Another in a long line of horrifically tough races tomorrow the 3 I like a bit are Paleface Pete especially if track is slow or worse having a look through his form he wasn't far behind King of the Nile a couple of starts back and with #kgs off would be in with 50kgs, Daring Fortune Powell has been getting some good results of late and this look a chance in an even event the drop in weight looks like a major help although the barrier could have it settling in a tricky position. Simply put wet track favours Paleface Pete and dry tack I feel favours Daring Fortune that is the way I am thinking of going anyway

Race 3: Was hoping to find a race to leave alone and gave this a chance of being that race but if Stolit can get in and it hasn't had anyluck at all lately so it could be a real big if, he just might be a chance to get a well deserved win especially with Pengelly engaged, Seconde is another I don't mind here been racing pretty solidly 4 runs back from a spell can hit the line from the back but also has the ability to sit in a good possy aswell with my man Bowditch on board I won't be leaving him out of my bets here. Going e/w on both here if odds are there for Stolit and Seconde whichever one isn't e/w odds I'll probably just leave alone hard to say at this point

Race 4: Tempted to leave this race alone but Tripitz was a good run last start and should start fav here if not I would seriously question what is going on, I like Pepperwood but my patience is pretty well gone with it would wants $10 to get interested in it tomorrow and I can't see that happening, Dalzar might be the value runner I would keep this safe whatever you do. Tripitz the horse wot beat if odds are available doubt Pepperwood is odds it should be and Dalzar might be the horse at odds that could blow them all out and would say I may have a little e/w on it over all the others mentioned

Race 5: Amazingly hard race this one it would be easier to tip the NRL and that is impossible, Chances to almost anything that lines up here IMO this race just might come down to who gets the right run with the relevant speed in the race, Recapitalise is an interesting addition to this race weighted to his best but he is a more than capable sprinter on his day and can certainly pull out a run fresh I amnot the biggest fan of Treweeks but he is good enough to steer this horse around I think, Street Smart is capable of blowing them all away as are both October Grey and Flying Alpha. I am really thinking of leaving this race alone unless Recapitalise is over the $15 mark and looks well or I can actually settle on one of the others by tomorrow if forced to pick Flying Alpha looks hardest to beat but she won't be any spoil at the odds I wouldn't feel and isn't a terribly consistent commodity. [\b]

Race 6: Well all I will say here is good luck fantastic race and a great lineup of fillys and mares, I really like Rosa's Spur and see absolutely no reason to get off her now she smashed a good field last start and loses nothing IMO getting Robert riding her opposed to Craig Williams alot won't agree there but IMO Robert is as good as anyone going around, After this it is opinion based Nova Star is flying and cannot be left out was a good run in the straddy one of the few to really hit the line, More than Lucky is a horse I have always had an opinion of and was beaten only a length 1st up behind Metallity last prep looks to be a value chance here. [b]I am backing Rosa's Spur regardless she shouldn't be double figure odds again she was sensational her last 2 starts and was carrying plenty of condition suggesting she had plenty of improvement, More than Lucky is the other one I am thinking of backing e/w.


Race 7: Sculptor was a great win last start and has paid the price he might still be able to win with that weight but it is going to be tough Game On looks as though it could prove hard to run past and Mirkola Lass has drawn well and maynot get that far off the pace it does struggle to win races though. I figure $10 or better is still good odds on Sculptor and will back him around there Mirkola Lass is the other I would treat as an e/w proposition

Race 8: Tough race to finish the day however one of my favs in Roman Squire is going around and he would have been my bet if not for the ridiculos odds i saw in the paper today of $2.90 no way I back anything in this race near those odds, Legendary Man is one I so want to sack once and for all but he keeps doing something to suck me back in again, Hard to Catch was a sensatrional run in the straddy not sure if the mile suits him and Our Lord Monty gets the right jockey change in having McKeon removed. Roman Squire if odds are there if not Legendary Man and if no odds there I might have a go at Hard to Catch

Good luck guys in a ridiculosly tough day plenty of value there is you can find a couple
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