With the rain continuining to fall in Melbourne the track is getting wetter and wetter. I would say that we will be on atleast a slow track come Tuesday unless the weather takes a dramatic turn in the next 24-48 hours.

My biggest concern however is how the Flemington track will hold up for the future meetings. I am very much looking forward to Stakes Day, but my concern is that if the track is slow for Tuesday and gets cut up what will the consequences for Saturday (I am not too concerned about Thursday, Oaks is never a good day)? I am hoping the track isn't a disaster by the end of the week.

In saying that we may need to take into account the form when doing the form. On early thoughts there were a few I would be having a close look at, including Race 4 #3 Eskaw, Race 6 #3 Balcentra, Race 9 #13 Sanjuan.

In the Cup I like Master O'Rielly. Will get the trip and looks to have had the beat lead up, looks the one to beat.

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