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Old 16th February 2008, 08:39 PM
Crackone Crackone is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 368
Default Fav strike rates verses prices

Hi Chrome pulled this from another post

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
3421 races
1056 winners
32.58% S/R
Loss 12.23%
Average dividend $2.69
Minimum Dividend $1.10
Maximum Dividend $6.40

2000 -10.07%
2001 -8.57%
2002 -23.14%
2003 -6.49%
2004 -13.30%
2005 -7.45%
2006 -4.59%
2007 -24.53%

As you can see, some years you lose more than 20%, some years you lose as little as 4.59%

Under 10% it would be quite possible to make a small percentage using best tote.

I'd recommend using Betfair and setting a price limit on your bets, if it's matched go ahead, if not, pass the race.

Sticking to hot favourites under $2.00 you only lose 7.83%, but you are far more likely to get "value" on the easy favourites. For example you won't get $3.00 about an even money shot, but you might just get $7.50 about a 5/1 shot.
My Question is do you or anyone else have S/Tab prices for the Fav at the jump.

eg. under $2 lose of 7.83%

$2.05 to $2.50 lose of ????% and so on.

reasoning for this is a bookmaker is offering $0.30 above S/tab win price.
Plus 30c on a $2 Fav is 15% extra.
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