Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 25th February 2010, 11:45 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink Lay The Fave

Here's a little Lay The Fave system I've checked over the past 7 days. I omitted Saturday because of the higher class races.

1) Minimum of 8 runners.
2) The pre-post fave (I use the Telegraph's market) to be under $3.00.

It would be expected that this might not be a good Laying system because the fave, being short in the market, would be expected to run well. However the results from Wed 17 Feb does not support this.

There were 51 races for 39 successes and 12 accidents. When adding 33% to the Unitab divvies for the accidents the total liability comes to $14.40. Obviously they were very short in the market. I calculated that if the winner paid $3.00 on Unitab then it would have been $4.00 on Betfair ($3.00 by 1.33). When deducting the stake of $1.00 it gives a loss of $3.00.

As there were 39 successes the profit was $37.05 after Betfair's commission. This results in a nett profit of $22.65 from 39 races.

Today's races are:

Gosford R6
Ballarat R3
Ballarat R7
Albany R2
Albany R4
Townsville R1
Townsville R2
Townsville R3

Let's see if it can beat the Forum Curse...

Last edited by michaelg : 25th February 2010 at 11:49 AM.
Reply With Quote
 


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 10:42 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655