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#21

25th June 2010, 02:45 PM

demodocus

Member

Join Date: Apr 2010

Posts: 59

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSchmile

By my maths, you are hitting 22% winners, so have a 78% chance of hitting a loser.

Using Nick Aubrey's method we get

22% SR over 1000 races

100% chance of hitting 5 runs of 15 outs

60% chance of 1 run of 22 outs.

See prog. "The Risk of Ruin" (Google it).

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