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![]() I don't know if anyone bets boxed exotics. Even if no one does, this might still be of interest.
I've been testing on paper for quite some time to see if there is any field size that might be superior when boxing exotics. It seems that 10 and 11 runners is the way to go. Since last Wednesday I've been boxing 7 runners with real money on Sportingbet (I won't explain how I make the selections) in fields of 10 and 11. I've excluded Maidens and every starter must have had at least 2 career starts. The results more or less mirror my somewhat extensive testing, which is encouraging. Since Wednesday there have been 36 races. Win betting: 252 bets for a return of $259.40. Quinellas 27 successes from 36 races. Outlay of $756 for a return of $1,010 Trifectas 25 successes from 36 races. Outlay of $7560 for a return of $18,000. First Fours 21 successes from 36 races. Outlay of $30,240 for a return of $49,900. I've also been testing since Thursday fields of 9 runners betting 6 selections. There have only been 10 races and the results are promising. Quinellas Outlay of $150 for a return of $259 Trifectas Outlay of $1,260 for a return of $1,985 First Fours Outlay of $3,600 for a return of $5,250. I've also looked at 12 starters betting 8 selections. It is currently showing a profit but it is too inconsistent so I'm scrapping it. I don't look at stand-out exotics. My selection process is nothing special, so if anyone has a system/procedure that picked multiple selections they might be interested testing them in exotics with fields of 10 and 11 runners, and maybe even 9. Last edited by michaelg : 25th July 2010 at 06:15 PM. |
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