hi all anybody with a system or ratings who has had a sufficient nos of bets say 200> who wishes to know the approximate numbers of outs they'll occur during a certain bet period just post your s/rate on the forum and i'll give you a reply based on between 1-10,000 bets as fav's win 30% approx of all races here's the approximate run of outs one would possibly expect with a 30% s/rate
bets=1-10(outs=4.5)bets=11-100(outs=10.7)bets=101-1,000(outs=16.9)
bets=1001-10,000(outs=23.1)pretty sobering stuff isn't it it's good for me when going through a run of outs to look up my s/rate then the probable run of outs and gain some satisfaction that this a normal occurrence for my system not the system needs to be turfed in the bin (YET) source of these s/rates is (mathematics for the punter)(written by the turf accountant)for (PUNTERS CHOICE) as honest and unbiased organization i know of for any doubters out there.
cheers garyf