2 weeks ago I ran for 7 days a live test on Unitab, 15 seconds before race start on the top 8 favourites (min 8 starters), mainly to see where our selections lay. As a by-product of this test I noticed that during this period the top 8 favourites produced over 95% of the winners.

To me, the obvious from this was the potential to lay those that were NOT in the top 8 favourites.

Today I did a test on this, with a 100% strike rate. However, the prices of those to be bet was VERY high!

When you are betting to a liability, the payout is the same irrespective of the price if failure strikes, however it is the return you get when successful which may be a problem for a viable system.

Anyway I throw this out there as an observation as there is very little supporting data on my part, but I thought it was still interesting and worthy of a post.

For interest, today it was an $84.70 return on a $50 bet liability (but with 100% strike rate) so not sure how this would stack up long term.

Food for thought only! .. good punting! .. fred