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I've got 2,892 last start winners at the Valley.
876 of them were leading at the 400m mark, or 30% of them. 1345 were running first or second at the 400m mark, or 46.51% So this is leading before the home turn, as the straight is 173m long. 1,750 were in the top 3 on pacers at the 400m mark, which equates to 60.51% What's missing from this is the situation where it's a distance race and the leader pinches a break of 2 or 3 lengths or more.
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