I always thought the most useful aspect of time was how it related to pace in a race.
thus if your pick is tailed off and they run some" cheap sectionals" it would have no chance as the race would become a quarter-horse finish down the straight.

so you discard the run.

next time under similar conditions where there is a couple of early speedsters in the field you may feel that your pick maybe will be steaming home over the top and represents good value

that's as far as i could get with it.