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Old 20th January 2012, 02:53 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default Laying False favs 29% POT

For those who like Laying the false Fav.

One could even Dutch the field to win , leaving these Lays out .
For a very tidy profit.

The real art in Laying is to see if we can be successful taking on the $4.50 & less shots to fall over- not an easy task.
Anything under 21%SR and we have made a very good profit.

These runners showing 20-24% Win SR seem to be over bet with the general public.

Getting the fav SR down from 30%SR to 20%SR is usually a difficult exercise.
Maybe this has legs.
Maybe someone with a larger data base could check these figures for mid week.

One could use the pre-post market to get initial selections & go from there

81% SR
29% POT


RULES
Target 1st & 2nd Favs

Win SR 20-23%

10+ runners

Lay Price 2.00-4.50




There were 174 selections for the System
There were 141 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 81.03%
You had to pay out $114.01 but brought in $165.3 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $51.29 or a percentage profit/loss of 29.48%

The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 2 and WinPriceLay <=4.5 and priceRank < 90 and priceRank >= 1 and priceRank <=2 and winStrikeRate >= 20 and winStrikeRate <=23 and runners >= 10
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