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Old 10th February 2012, 09:31 AM
Barny Barny is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 1,091
Default Here's an angle & an example

Benfica Caulfield R5 No. 1

It has a tongue tie on which indicates it may have choked up in it's last run. It was also examined by the vet. Will the 'unwashed' plonk on this at good odds or look for the form horse ?????

This horse WON the TJ Smith, a G1 race at Eagle Farm.

It's also going up 200m in distance, a good sign

Now my point is this ..... because this horse is second up and it had problems first up, we don't know of it's improved considerably since it's last preparation ..... it might have !! It may have won it's last start without the problems, and would probably start close to favourite (that I'm guessing) tomorrow. So ..... are we getting juicy odds about a favourite 'coz punters focus on wins and placings at a horses previous start ??

Last edited by Barny : 10th February 2012 at 09:33 AM.
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