Party,

Sounds like you are stuck in the dreaded 50% chance [overall odds] you win/loose scenario.

Your goal is simply to increase your odds/chances [ for all of us, simple to see but not so simple to do ! ] to get out of the 'treading water' rut.

If I remember correctly, you bet place only [?]. Try checking your records to see if you would improve your balance sheet by betting for a win instead. That alone will improve your odds [ it has to, considering place on average, pays 1/4 win price and not 1/3rd ].

Fear of win betting is in the mind and not the maths.

If you play a system[s], examine your filters for areas of possible improvement or even consider handicapping it's selections as THE final filter [would improve all systems]... 'Rule no.X : Reason'

Stuffing around with when to stop/start with bets is just that, stuffing around at the edges of the problem to avoid tackling possible ingrained betting prejudices and habits [ handicaps ].

Horses don't know when to stop/start winning and certainly don't know when YOU are betting on them.

Improving your odds/chances is the only way to win in this game and soundly based [ not from la la land ] reasoning is called for.

Anything a punter does to achieve improvement, must make sense mathematically and stand it's scrutiny [ not the pathetic scrutiny of wishful thinking/reasoning ] otherwise we won't proceed forward an inch long term.

Finally, believing in ourselves as winners is important strategy too. Even if life has knocked the stuffing out of us, left us shredded and has us convinced we are losers.

Cheers.


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-05-31 09:05 ]