3rd March 2013, 08:44 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 740
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Apple just fell on my head!
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Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
As far as I know, Benjamin Franklin wasn't a scientist either. Interesting insights RP.. thanks for your contribution to date.
Cheers LG
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Since my last post I did some work on the random races sequence. It won't work!
Take this sequence of races: W W L L L W L W L L L L W
To avoid the cluster of 4 losses let's bet every second race with two bots. You'd get: W L L L L L W and W L W W L L
Now you've got a cluster of 5 losses with one bot!
The only time it might work is with a selection system with a 9 -11% chance of a win, like horses with odds around $10. Mathematically they rarely exceed 3 consecutive wins, so splitting races might work but then you might strike a race sequence like: L L L W L W L W L L L L L L and you'd still get three wins in a row.
Back to the drawing board, RP |
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