Hi all
I have been lurking over the last few months (saving my dollars for the spring)
With the new season I thought it might be time to get some discussion going, and perhaps no better opportunity exists than with the San Domenico Stks.
I am interested in how fellow members assess this race.
We have the 1st, 2nd, and 4th from the Golden Slipper as well as the winner of the Inglis Classic beating the 3rd placegetter in the Slipper. Of course that is past history, but I can't imagine that anything other than Dance Hero will start fav. (and very short at that)
So how do we work out whether there is value in any other horse?
Gai sent Dance Hero around in a trial last week (and it ran the fastest time of the day)
so I presume it is reasonably fit for the 1000metres.
But what about Charge Forward? Remember it beat Dance Hero (3rd) in their first race. O'Shea hasn't given it a trial. What is the significance of this? Is he keeping his powder dry or is he contemplating later races?
The parochial Newcastle media has been sprouting Fastnet Rock on the strength of a strong (supposedly) recent trial win but I believe it will be better over a longer distance.
Then we have Crimson Reign- a filly I have always had a lot of time for- & McLachlan is no fool.
What about the others?
I suspect Savabeel may be out of his depth in this field but he did win over 1000metres at his 1st start at Randwick by 4.5L
Finally we have Clarry Conner's lightly raced
Braveheart- ran 4th in listed race over 1000metres to Not a Single Doubt then put away. Was this a deliberate ploy injury or shin soreness?
Come on all you punters. Tell me what you think will win, or not win, and more particularly WHY?
My view?
I think I will have a small wager on Charge Forward to repeat his first start win.
Cheers