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Old 3rd August 2019, 11:45 AM
entropy entropy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by demodocus
The more I play with the stats the more i realise that the price is the indicator of success.

This table looks at races (287,983) and uses TAB price with Fav. Rank to generate WSR's. The selected field size was 9 - 13 starters.

RANK..........1.............2............3........ .....4........
$2.0...........44.8%......XX........XX..........XX
$2.5...........34.1.........XX........XX.......... XX
$3.0...........28.7........29.9.......33.3........ .XX
$3.5...........23.7........23.3.......24.1........ .XX
$4.0...........20.0........20.2.......18.4........ 16.7
$4.5...........17.9........18.1.......17.6........ 19.3
$5.0...........15.6........14.9.......14.7........ 12.9

The average Aus Field is 11 (rounded .... I can't deal with 0.18 of a horse).

Doubtless it would be possible to correct either/both WSR and Price to BSP (I haven't looked).


Thanks for the interesting table demodocus, and the nice formatting!

The final price, tote or sp, is really only known after the race: I wonder what the figures look like for the available price ie just before the jump when it is possible to get a bet on?
Perhaps pool size dependent?
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