14th August 2002, 12:13 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 3
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Quote:
On 2002-08-14 12:07, hermes wrote:
Blue Tyson wrote:
Also, in your sample there, when you say eliminate the TAB 1's, if you have a 1 and an 11 say in a race,
do you then back the 11, or throw out the race altogether?
Just to clarify. In this method only consider the last start winner with the lowest TAB number. If that is TAB 1, eliminate and move on to next race. You don't then go down to the next last start winner in the same race, if any. Although you could. I haven't tried it.
Lowest tabbed last start winners yield lots of placeghetters and a good volume of winners too but the category as a whole needs further filtering to make it pay.Too many pay too little. You can locate the band that does pay in several ways. Removing TABs 1,2 and 3 helps, for instance, coz the poor payers tend to be those numbers (and usually favourites). You get much the same effect by looking at a market filter: eliminate anything under $5.
But it so happens, as I found by accident, that yes if you bet $3 on a qualifier carrying saddlecloth 3, $4 on 4, $5 on 5 etc. you get much the same effect - slightly better! Especially if number 11s like Upmarket Star win for 16/1. Just an idea.
Hermes
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