Gday to all who have a look at this.

I dont know if the light bulb above my head has just been switched on,.....but,

when we say that approx 30% of all races are won by the favourite, what are we really talking about ?
I just whatched NZR5 on NSW TAB internet, the race jumped, the ruddy race nearly finnished and the favourite on the TAB was nolonger the favourite,...it changed whilst the BL@#*Y race was running.

Should it therfore be looked on that if you use the TAB for your "favourites" selection that more often what you back (even to the jump) is not the favourite, more like the second or third, which would mean that "systems" and "plans" that take into account the principle of betting on favs are therefore doomed?

I understand that little men sit in rooms at race tracks, fed and watered, loved and carred for, they are the "big spenders" that are allowed to put and take off bets i believe even after the jump, this would then have said effect along with last minute "updates" from internet bets comming in.

I therfore, and i might be called stuppid, have just had a relevation, i dont trust it no longer !

Am i on the right track ?

Dingoboy