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![]() This post follows on from Bhagwan's amazing crappy staking plan.
See what you think. It's based on ability and on distribution of ability in a given race. 1) Count up in a race the total of horses with tabq rating of 94 or better 2) Add one to this total to make a dividend eg if you find 5, then the target dividend to seek is 5/1 or $6. This is meant to be based on the natural odds of 5 horses which have been rated with at least a 87% chance of winning. (not exact but thereabouts) 3) Find amongst those which have 94 or better AND came 5th or better last start which meet the dividend. 4) If the dividend is below $6 then bet only if there is one selectable. 2 max if $6 and bet on three horses only if the dividend is $9 etc etc give or take 50c. The overall result is finding value amongst distribution of ability. See what you think..... |
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