
20th April 2005, 04:23 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
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1st Up
forgive my ignorance. Does this mean 31.5% of horses 1-3 up win 28.5% of the races and 30.77% of horses 4-9 up win 36.2% of the races and thus the horses 10+ runs up from a spell represent 37.73% of runners and win 37.3% of the time. This would give respectively rf figures of 0.904, 1.176 and 0.988. But the first is over three measurements 1st up 2nd up and 3rd up, the second is over six measurements 4th up etc and the remainder over who knows.
The rf figures show an increase from one to two and again from two to three. obviously they must increase again at 4th up etc as the bulk of horses reach their peak and then decrease. Can someone please post the rf figures for 4up etc to highlight this peak.
We are told to avoid betting on horses back from a spell but thinking outside the circle couldn't more value be found here?
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