Privateer,

You obviously know a lot about the caper and put a hell of a lot of time in your punting, but do you actually sit there watch tapes with the Sportsman in your hand and do form analysis?

Its all very well to have this systematic way of betting, however with the time you put in you could have watched e.g every horses last five starts. From this you can determine speed maps, time ratings, actual ability and so on. I believe this information to be much more valuable then if a horse has won more average prizemoney etc. Not saying i do but i have tried it and was quite successful, mostly with place betting, but the time got the better of me.

Above you mentioned that luck in running last start was not important, what i don't know is how you discern this from newspaper archives, you may get the (blocked for a run) comment but without videos how can you observe what impact this had on the result.

Glad your doing well mate, as you can see i'm not a fan of numerical systems for finding a winner, just think video analysis of races is that much superior because you see an actualisation of events and not take the word of the formguide.

Cheers ED