Sahasastar,

Take the profit.

Divide it by the MAXIMUM win dividend.

The higher the number, the more likely to succeed.

16 races is unfortunately a drop in the ocean, you need close to 1,000 to get any clear indication.

If the profit is made up from 1 or 2 winners (based on the above calculation), then relax and take it carefully, it is not likely to succeed.

Here is an example of what I would call likely to succeed.

Selections: 586
Winners: 289
Strike Rate: 49.32%
Profit: $60.60
POT: 10.34%
Average Dividend: $2.24
Maximum Dividend $2.90

20 runners make up the profit based on the maximum win dividend.

The chances of 20 occurrences being a coincidence are very small indeed, over 586 bets.

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