This weekend has finally cemented something for me. Makybe is a defier. She will defy logic. You can try and quantify the situation and state cases as to why she won;t win but when it comes to the crunch she always seems to defy logic and win anyway.

It is not a 2 horse race. Horses don;t go round in a cox plate to make up numbers - they are all there to win. Heres the scenario. Fully wound up at there utmost peak fitness, makybe is a superior animal to lad of the manor. Full stop. Therefore, going on a nose loss to lad when they wern;t peaking then makybe beats him at their peaks. If anything beats her it is one of the internationals. I don't think you can discount mummify, if you go along the pace bias theme.