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I have been playing around with favourites again and found the following which I hope may be of some interest:
Metropolitan Saturday favourites from July 2001 to end Dec 2002 won: 808/2772 or 29.1% S/R for 18.3 % loss on turnover. Of these, those carrying the limit weight or up to 1.5 kg over the limit (before claims) won: 198/649 or 30% S/R for 3% lot. Using the following filters: (i) Eliminate first uppers (ii) Include only if career starts = 5 – 25, these then won: 154/464 or 33% S/R for 4.5% profit on turnover.(average Div 3.15) This profit figure is based on NSWTAB so Div-Plus could be conservatively expected to add 0.1 of a point per 2 winners, increasing pot to 6% Any other ideas for tweaking the figures while I have the spread sheet handy, or perhaps someone may be able to run this over a longer time-frame? |
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