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Old 21st February 2006, 11:06 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Yeah, I NEVER back a team that has to give up a start!!! I worked that out a few years ago after a couple of bad betting experiences.

I remember one time backing a team with a 20.5 handicap. I thought they would win by about 40 or 50 points, so 20.5 seemed reasonable to me. Well, after struggling for the first 3 quarters, they finally got on top in the final quarter and had a 19 point lead with a couple of minutes to go. At that point, they were obviously just relieved to have gotten out of jail, because they made absolutely no effort at all to score another goal. They just played around, basically passing it backwards and forwards to each other for the last 2 minutes, keeping it away from the opposition. Anyway, that tought me a lesson, and I've never backed a team that had to give away a points start again.

Last edited by Sportz : 21st February 2006 at 11:15 AM.
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Old 23rd February 2006, 12:12 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
Default Margins and prices

Latest modifications to Margins

Melbourne - Daniher suggests not concentrating on NAB Cup minus 7
Sydney - Impressive acceptance speech for 2005 coach of the year plus 5
Brisbane - team getting older minus 8
Fremantle - 2 Fine assistant coaches from Essendon plus 4
Essendon - 2 fine assistant coaches leave minus 4
Geelong - A lot of good players missing minus 10
Carlton - Won last year,maybe they would like to repeat? - plus 12
Melbourne - Fielding a reserves team minus 12

Brisbane Essendon - 22 $1.35 $3.75
Bulldogs Melbourne - 42 $1.15 $7.90
Sydney Kangaroos - 13 $1.55 $2.80
Richmond Hawthorn - 20 $1.40 $3.50
Geelong Carlton - 45 $1.10 $8.90
Adelaide Port Power - 10 $1.65 $2.60
St.Kilda Collingwood - 47 $1.10 $9.70
West Coast Fremantle - 24 $1.35 $4.00

Once you come up with the prices,they need to be compared with current markets and discrepancies need to be analyzed.
Not knowing the available markets as yet,but I believe I may have West Coast way under.Still think I have them about right.Bulldogs look mighty short but I'm happy so far with that price.

And the fella who got the EVENS about Adelaide last week,WELL DONE.Forgot your name.
Just goes to show it really pays to have a look at thr form before just coming up with a gut feeling.
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