|
|
To advertise on these forums, e-mail us. |
|
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread | Display Modes |
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Can any one test this please
1) Horse must have between 80% and 99% place strike rate
2) Must be the only selection in the race 3) must have had atleast 5 starts |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Not too good Shaun,
5063 selections Win return $4,588.20 Place return $4,474.28 So it's a 9.4% win loss on turnover approximately. That's as per your rules taking out multiple runners in a race.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 412,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/12/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Chrome, as expected BUT, just as a matter of interest what was the % of places?
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Thanks mate, we will see what we can do with that.
One day i will have to make a good investment in that database then i can run my own tests. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
5063 selections
2421 placings Place Strike rate of 47.82%
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 412,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/12/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Chrome, thanks for that, but it sounds too bad to be true, is that the WIN s/r maybe?
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Yes, it's the place strike rate.
It's actually 47.62% S/R, I included NTD horses by accident
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 412,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/12/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Chrome, I'm amazed then at the ave. divi and only a lot of 10%, considering that you'd expect horses with 80-90% place S/R to be fairly short, amazing!
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Quote:
Can i ask over what period did you run these stats as these are only about 15 selections per week this seams a lot of runners unless these stats are for about 10 years results. |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Hi Shaun,
it's amazing how one can be mislead by place percentage. I would not have believed myself, that the result was so poor. I quickly double checked it back to 2001 and out of 4424 races there were only 967 winners. A miserable 21.84%. Did not bother to check the place% after this. Goes to show the fallacy of relaying on simple filters, doesn't it? Good luck Last edited by lomaca : 18th January 2008 at 03:32 PM. |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|