Thanks Paul.Can I run this past you
Its my main method - Daily basis.
I wont divulge it on a open forum for obvious reasons.

199 Bet /75 Wins /Win % 37.6/ Av Dividend $2.80/POT 13.4 %

Cheers and Thanks
darky

Hi Darky

The results are listed below:

In terms of the 199 bet example and using a strike rate of 37.5%, the realities of mathematics dictate the following conclusions:

1. Your average bet size should not exceed 1.10% of your bank;
2. Using 1 line of deviation (68% of the time), you will likely have a drawdown of between 19-37 winners in terms of average bets;
3. Using 2 lines of deviation (95% of the time), you will likely have a drawdown of between 10-46 winners in terms of average bets;
4. There is still a 5% chance that your results will fall outside both points 2 and 3;
5. Depending on how long it takes to wager the 199 bets, your results in terms of POT% are likely (95% chance) to be between -10.1% and +30.1% POT after the 100 bets have been made and resulted.
6. The longest losing sequence will fall between 4 and 16 (95% of the time).

__________________
Regards


Paul Daily - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd (Director)
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate performance ratings that include Hong Kong.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/